Business in Vancouver May 3-9, 2005; issue 810
www.biv.com
Damian Kettlewell: Podium
B.C. firms weigh in at Hannover fuel cell
exhibit
Hydrogen and fuel cell commercialization from a B.C. perspective
I just returned from the Hydrogen and Fuel Cells Trade Exhibit
in Hannover, Germany, where from April 11 to 15 I was a forum
moderator interviewing European, North American and Asian
business leaders from the hydrogen sector.
The Hydrogen and Fuel Cell Trade Exhibit was in its 11th
year, and had more than 100 exhibitors from 20 countries presenting
the entire value-added chain from hydrogen production to components
and services all the way to complete fuel-cell systems.
The exhibition encompassed fuel-cell applications ranging
from powering portables such as camcorders and laptops, to
mobiles (vehicles, forklifts), to stationary power plants.
This year, commercialization moved more to the forefront,
said exhibit producer Arno Evers: "We will see that the
expressed desire to now also make money with this technology
will play an ever increasing role."
Investors have reason to be optimistic, considering the costs
of setting up a hydrogen infrastructure in Europe have been
over-estimated in the past. Linde AG released a study that
showed a complete European hydrogen infrastructure will cost
$5.6 billion, significantly lower than previously estimated.
"The results of the study are a clear signal to us,"
noted Linde CEO Wolfgang Reitzle. "Entry into the hydrogen
economy is feasible."
A sumary of Linde AG's study can be found at www.fuelcells
works.com/Supppage2138.html. The study points to the centralized
production of hydrogen and distribution in highly populated
areas. To propel the implementation of a hydrogen economy
infrastructure, European companies are calling for the elimination
of taxes on hydrogen until 2020.
This European scenario is similar to B.C.'s Hydrogen Highway
and its seven refuelling stations, which are expected be operational
in southwestern B.C. by 2010.
Among B.C.-based companies at the exhibit were Greenlight
Technologies and FuelCon Systems, which are capitalizing on
the plethora of fuel-cell companies that require equipment
to test fuel cell components. Quest Air Technologies of Burnaby
exhibited its hydrogen purification technology and representatives
spoke about opportunities in Japan.
Hydrogenics of Ontario was the most prominent Canadian exhibitor
as it demonstrated its stationary and mobile fuel cells in
the same booth as Greenlight Technologies, one of their subsidiaries.
Hydrogenics is evolving into Canada's largest and most stable
hydrogen and fuel-cell company after acquiring Stewart Energy
and its hydrogen manufacturing and refuelling technology.
Noticeably absent from the exhibitor list this year was Ballard
Power. Ballard did send a number of representatives to the
exhibit, but there was speculation that it is trying to contain
cash burn levels until it has new technology benchmarks to
demonstrate.
Two market opportunities that exist for B.C.'s hydrogen economy
companies include fuel cells as auxiliary power units for
long-haul trucks and technologies that capture waste hydrogen
and re-integrate it into a separate manufacturing process.
The high cost of fuel and anti-idling regulations are making
fuel cells attractive as a means to power the "hotel"
units of long-haul trucks.
Currently, these long-haul trucks idle their diesel engines
through the night to power their heating and internal appliances.
A 5-kilowatt fuel cell would meet all the power requirements
for long-haul trucks while they are parked.
Netherlands-based Nedstack is developing a niche application
for hydrogen fuel cells in the production of chlorine that
captures waste hydrogen and feeds it to a fuel cell. North
Vancouver's planned hydrogen refuelling station in the Hydrogen
Highway would operate from a similar waste-hydrogen model.
In an interview that covered the global state of the hydrogen
economy, David Jollie, editor of Fuel Cells Today, called
for "cautious optimism." The Japanese are setting
the most aggressive goals, and now plan to have 50,000 fuel-cell
cars on the road by 2010.
North American hydrogen economy companies are known for over-promising
their technology achievements, as Ballard Power and Plug Power
have consistently failed to meet technology performance benchmarks.
European fuel-cell companies have been more cautious in their
goals, and, as a result, the valuation of their publicly traded
companies has been relatively consistent.
Earlier expectations about fuel-cell cars are still limited
by technology challenges. Fuel cells must have an operational
life of at least 5,000 hours (it is currently around 1,500
hours). And costs must be contained: platinum, one of the
critical raw materials for fuel cells, costs between $1,600
and $3,200 per vehicle.
The hydrogen economy's classic "chicken and egg"
challenge persists: to ensure long-term viability, a hydrogen
production and distribution system needs to be built, even
while the search for an economically sustainable fuel-cell
vehicle goes on.
Research and development dollars continue to rise every year,
and it is not a matter of "if," but simply "when"
fuel cells will be integrated into our daily lives. Niche
opportunities in the hydrogen value chain are present for
those entrepreneurs who understand the relationship between
the regulatory, taxation and energy drivers in North America,
Asia and Europe.
Damian Kettlewell (hydrogenmedia@telus.net) is a Vancouver-based
consultant specializing in renewable energy. |